Exciting-Mailbox
0x241c53774abea8928de4f51078b31d972ace2893
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$115.76
Total PnL
$-277.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
101 shares @ 57.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$59.00
$1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
32 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$32.00
$16.00
- YES
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 28.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$11.50
$-16.50
- YES
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$6.55
$-1.45
- NO
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
3 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
168 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$1.68
$0.68
- YES
Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$1.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
203 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- MAGIC
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
551 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-275.37
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$16.56Jun 6, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00May 21, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00May 21, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$2.00May 21, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$8.00May 21, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$28.00May 21, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?$58.00May 21, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: 76ers (-1.5)$279.56Apr 15, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5$277.94Apr 12, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5$146.64Apr 8, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.03Apr 8, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$2.08Apr 8, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 4?$3.03Apr 8, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$3.00Mar 4, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?$1.00Mar 4, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 4?$3.00Mar 4, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 4, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$3.03Mar 4, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMFlying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?$6.05Mar 4, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$2.00Feb 23, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $27.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".