Political-Bean
0x2424814c59ba3496baae640cc0c18432ee593b61
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$15.0K
Total PnL
$-65.4K
Realised
$12.9K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
289445 shares @ 6.9¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$14.6K
$-5.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
13711 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$335.91
$-150.01
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
200693 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-25.1K
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
68431 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
54173 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
50000 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.9K
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 July 28–August 3?
31597 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
30000 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
19923 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
18750 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$26.40May 9, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$1.60May 8, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.93May 8, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$7.28May 8, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$172.17May 8, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$4.59May 8, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.08May 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.08May 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$291.47May 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$3.60May 8, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.08May 8, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.08May 8, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$283.04May 8, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.68May 8, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$52.69May 8, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$75.27May 8, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.08May 8, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.08May 8, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$291.41May 8, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$2.03May 8, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $59.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 10:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".