Wallet digest

active

Activity score

61/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$125.00

Total PnL

$-11.10

Realised

$-30.96

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
80 shares @ 46.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$80.00
$42.75
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
20 shares @ 48.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$20.00
$10.30
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
10 shares @ 52.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$10.00
$4.75
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
10 shares @ 68.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$10.00
$3.15
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$5.00
$2.75
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
115 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-5.40
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
60 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-28.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
16 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-7.81
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
4 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.67
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
1 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-0.47

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Jan 3, 01:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Jan 3, 01:50 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$5.00Jan 3, 01:50 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Jan 3, 01:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Dec 31, 03:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.30Dec 31, 03:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.45Dec 31, 03:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.40Dec 31, 03:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.60Dec 31, 03:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.50Dec 31, 03:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.05Dec 31, 03:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.05Dec 31, 03:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.05Dec 31, 03:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.05Dec 31, 03:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.10Dec 31, 03:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.25Dec 31, 03:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.25Dec 31, 03:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.25Dec 31, 03:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.30Dec 31, 03:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.25Dec 31, 03:10 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry90 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk59 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 41
Avg trade size: $1.55
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 25, 01:31 UTC
Last active: Jan 3, 01:51 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:18:47 UTC·src:Polymarket Data