Lucky-Supply
0x2429375a5a377f86c4b8c4b4356ae15ac776e90a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kafka Hibino win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?$1.27May 6, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill zero QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.01Apr 5, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill zero QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.01Apr 5, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in his first 100 days?$0.94Apr 2, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in his first 100 days?$0.94Apr 2, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?$1.21Mar 31, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?$1.21Mar 31, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?$1.14Mar 30, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?$1.14Mar 30, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aaron Rodgers sign with the Tennessee Titans?$1.12Mar 29, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rodgers sign with the Tennessee Titans?$2.23Mar 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ole Miss win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$2.33Mar 27, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ole Miss win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$2.33Mar 27, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Hunter Biden?$2.30Mar 25, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Hunter Biden?$2.30Mar 25, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?$2.45Mar 24, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?$2.45Mar 24, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLGavin Newsom out as Governor before April?$1.91Mar 22, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGavin Newsom out as Governor before April?$1.27Mar 22, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIncarcerated U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before April?$1.05Mar 21, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 03:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.