Spherical-Mortise
0x2433809d4b4e1dacfed6bf2184d4b4e1d19bd6bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-105.37
Realised
$-0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
119 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
98 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
83 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.47
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?
82 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-36.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 27?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.95Apr 7, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2.10Apr 7, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2.01Apr 7, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.35Jan 6, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Jan 6, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$2.35Jan 5, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$0.00Jan 5, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$9.30Jan 5, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$2.22Dec 7, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$4.47Dec 7, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?$6.69Dec 6, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$1.24Nov 27, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$1.00Nov 27, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$1.00Nov 27, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 27?$1.00Nov 27, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$4.20Nov 27, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$0.00Nov 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$4.20Nov 25, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$12.25Nov 25, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 20:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 23:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".