Mountainous-Refectory
0x243a24fac85726465999a3853a811bbf300605a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-92.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
4140 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "NATO" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?
841 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
528 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
173 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.09Mar 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$57.08Mar 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Marty Supreme" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?$23.00Feb 11, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Feb 11, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Feb 11, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Feb 11, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Feb 11, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLCeltics vs. Nets$17.00Jan 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 23?$6.56Jan 23, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?$0.05Jan 23, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 23?$5.00Jan 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLHornets vs. Magic$53.07Jan 23, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?$7.29Jan 22, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?$6.74Jan 22, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?$5.00Jan 22, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?$5.00Jan 22, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Nets$17.00Jan 22, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Magic$17.00Jan 22, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?$24.00Dec 19, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$0.78Dec 18, 15:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $12.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".