Modest-Pomelo
0x2441499a22bb022ace3eafbc8f9571026a31a2f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$197.95
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
100 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.00
$4.50
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
100 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 27?
10600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-31.80
- RAIDERS
Raiders vs. Commanders
2000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-860.00
- DOLPHINS
Dolphins vs. Steelers
1200 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-468.00
- RAVENS
Lions vs. Ravens
1200 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-828.00
- PACKERS
Packers vs. Browns
1200 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-960.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?
1000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-510.00
- HEAT
Raptors vs. Heat
600 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-408.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
200 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$98.10May 28, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.92May 13, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.86May 13, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$95.71May 13, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by April 30?$70.00May 13, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$155.00May 13, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$149.73Apr 17, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$30.00Apr 17, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$150.00Apr 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$19.52Mar 31, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$48.80Mar 31, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$50.00Mar 31, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$48.35Mar 7, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$135.00Feb 23, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$180.00Feb 23, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$49.00Jan 20, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$127.40Jan 20, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$190.00Jan 20, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$0.50Jan 1, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$57.00Jan 1, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $92.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 13:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".