Fearless-Kneejerk
0x244afcd66623528705f44f7a58998db2b05d623a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-779.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?
1000 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-41.50
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
670 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-214.27
- YES
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
214 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?
176 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
157 shares @ 56.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-89.24
- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?
155 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-66.85
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
151 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
127 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
100 shares @ 77.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-77.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$214.27Feb 28, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$214.27Feb 28, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$120.01Feb 20, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$120.01Feb 20, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$120.01Feb 18, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$120.01Feb 18, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$40.29Aug 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?$16.00Aug 13, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$30.00Aug 13, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?$61.50Aug 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk by September 30?$60.00Aug 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk by September 30?$6.85Aug 13, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$50.00Aug 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?$75.00Aug 13, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?$81.00Aug 13, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?$75.00Aug 13, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?$74.00Aug 13, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?$38.50Aug 13, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?$39.00Aug 13, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31?$24.99Aug 12, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $63.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 23:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".