Knowledgeable-Pretzel
0x2452f56c835841115f19f29b11e8789e0401f1bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
185
Open notional
$2.48
Total PnL
$-992.63
Realised
$-33.03
Win rate
0%
175 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 185- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 12?
41 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 12?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on August 12?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 12?
12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
48 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
43 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
39 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
35 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
32 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$3.00Aug 11, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 12?$1.07Aug 10, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.90 on August 12?$1.07Aug 10, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on August 12?$1.07Aug 10, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 12?$1.06Aug 10, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12?$1.06Aug 10, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00Aug 10, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$9.49Aug 10, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$5.26Aug 10, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$3.00Aug 10, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.75Aug 10, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$3.00Aug 10, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.70Aug 10, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.50Aug 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.50Aug 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.56Aug 10, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$3.00Aug 10, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$3.15Aug 10, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.70Aug 10, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$3.00Aug 10, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 175 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
175 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 01:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 175 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.