Failing-Antelope
0x2453d7dec5e6b76d2c97fbb5c87f93467bd1156a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 125 billion views by January 31?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?
76 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by January 31?$0.11Jan 30, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?$1.00Jan 14, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get between 76 and 79 million views on week 1?$1.86Jan 14, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by January 31?$1.00Jan 14, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?$3.36Jan 14, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?$1.00Jan 14, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?$0.70Jan 14, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 125 billion views by January 31?$1.00Jan 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by January 31?$1.00Jan 13, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the winner of Beast Games: Season 2 be Strong or Smart?$1.00Jan 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?$1.00Jan 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?$1.00Jan 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?$2.00Jan 13, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 13, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?$10.83Jan 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?$1.30Jan 12, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$1.30Jan 12, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$3.92Jan 1, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 08:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.