Yellowish-Sailboat
0x245567d2160287db62b221f943ab87259256cb66
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.26
Total PnL
$-0.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.69
$0.47
- YES
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?
3 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.51
$0.03
- YES
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.06
$0.02
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
2 shares @ 94.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$1.04May 18, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.48May 18, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.24May 18, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.39May 18, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.30May 18, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$5.42May 18, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.30Mar 4, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.10Mar 4, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$5.40Mar 4, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.06Mar 4, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$10.66Mar 4, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$1.45Feb 22, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.80Feb 22, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$10.65Feb 22, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.56Feb 22, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.75Feb 22, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?$4.22Feb 22, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.40Jan 4, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.70Jan 4, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?$4.10Jan 4, 04:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $886.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 13:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.