Musty-Negligee
0x2456b26da8d7b976a273796ca478a114bb2b09df
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-568.48
Realised
$-4.25
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
6 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
6 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.64Jul 22, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$3.04Jul 22, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.94Jul 22, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.89Jul 22, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$2.89Jul 22, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.99Jul 22, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$3.08Jul 22, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 11PM ET$2.99Jul 22, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$2.85Jul 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.56Jul 21, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11AM ET$5.08Jul 21, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11AM ET$3.09Jul 21, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$2.95Jul 21, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.29Jul 21, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$3.73Jul 21, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5.26Jul 21, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$4.16Jul 21, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$3.52Jul 21, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$3.04Jul 21, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.99Jul 21, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.