Personal-Asphalt
0x2459899772d747b6ee84ac004d5ead00902a92c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-212.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be in the manifesto?
304 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-30.40
- YES
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?
304 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-148.90
- NO
Will Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Brentford win on 2025-10-25?$42.00Oct 25, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$190.48Oct 25, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford win on 2025-10-25?$44.00Oct 25, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luigi Mangione plead guilty?$4.20Dec 10, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luigi Mangione plead guilty?$104.03Dec 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days?$33.00Dec 10, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be in the manifesto?$30.40Dec 10, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$100.00Dec 10, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luigi Mangione plead guilty?$40.66Dec 10, 09:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $49.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".