Defiant-Ballet
0x245c0c3643d85112a7bc98eeda403702c9f41f2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$43.52
Win rate
62%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
1916 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- CONNECTICUT HUSKIES
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
1080 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-291.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
894 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-125.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
615 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
546 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
405 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-92.96
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 1AM ET
403 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-81.65
- WARRIORS
Lakers vs. Warriors
395 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-161.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
393 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$7.32May 21, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.17May 21, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00May 21, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$10.40May 21, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$10.46May 21, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$33.84May 21, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$13.41May 21, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.18May 21, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$18.53May 21, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$14.45May 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$4.22May 21, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00May 18, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$6.30May 18, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$31.39May 18, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$23.94May 18, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$58.19May 18, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$61.81May 18, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$3.16May 18, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$10.56May 18, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$83.44May 18, 21:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $47.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 21:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".