Knowledgeable-Joke
0x245c13cda142fb2cde91d9b1053d7740ee272ce4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-114.05
Realised
$-21.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
NATO article 5 before March?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
91 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Another monkeypox case in US in 2024?
90 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
30 shares @ 61.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.56
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
13 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
12 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$1.00Jun 27, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$1.00Jun 27, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$1.00Jun 27, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$1.00Jun 27, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$1.00Jun 27, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$1.00Jun 24, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$2.00Jun 23, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?$2.00Jun 22, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$3.00Jun 22, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval >40% on July 1?$3.00Jun 22, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden appoint more judges than Trump?$0.01Dec 29, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMichel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?$0.08Dec 13, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$0.29Dec 11, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother monkeypox case in US in 2024?$17.00Dec 8, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$7.00Dec 7, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$8.00Dec 7, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?$14.95Dec 7, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?$18.38Dec 7, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?$20.00Dec 7, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?$20.00Dec 7, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $14.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".