Colossal-Elicit
0x2461008c4914be4b0f49fef3c26f20a424787749
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Joe Biden be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
122 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
114 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?
106 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New Jersey US Senate Election?
95 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
72 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?
65 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will another team win LoL Worlds 2024?
60 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?
55 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?
53 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$124.00Feb 17, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$33.48Feb 9, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$0.08Nov 18, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$0.00Nov 18, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$0.01Nov 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$0.01Nov 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$0.00Nov 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?$0.05Nov 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?$0.06Nov 11, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New Jersey US Senate Election?$0.10Nov 6, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.14Nov 5, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.06Oct 31, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win LoL Worlds 2024?$0.12Oct 29, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?$0.14Oct 29, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vasile Tarlev win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?$0.10Oct 29, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?$0.13Oct 29, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.10Oct 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?$0.10Oct 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Maryland Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 29, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Arizona Presidential Election?$0.11Oct 29, 19:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $23.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 11:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".