Similar-Spectacles
0x246bf9aba716ecbb0617f83e817d5a5ee3566cf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$310.71
Total PnL
$-202.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
China bans US films before July?
200 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$200.22
$0.80
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$50.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?
40 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$40.40
$0.40
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$20.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
490 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-203.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina bans US films before July?$199.42Jun 26, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?$40.00Jun 26, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$20.00Jun 26, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by June 30?$50.00Jun 26, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$203.84Nov 5, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $102.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 02:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.