Jolly-Literature
0x247055b32aaae500237a8713aeccb7bffa31a03b
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$67.40
Total PnL
$-84.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or below on May 2?
3255 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 2, 2026$19.53
$-7.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or below on May 2?
2412 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 2, 2026$7.24
$2.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 2?
1039 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 2, 2026$4.16
$-3.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C or below on May 2?
8111 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$4.06
$-12.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 2?
332 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$3.49
$-1.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or higher on May 2?
266 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.93
$0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 2?
5081 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.54
$-16.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C or higher on May 2?
273 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.19
$-0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on May 2?
293 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.90
$-0.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 2?
119 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.73
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 2?$0.031h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 2?$0.221h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 2?$0.241h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 2?$0.181h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 2?$0.242h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 2?$0.222h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 2?$0.062h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or below on May 2?$0.032h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 2?$0.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C or below on May 2?$0.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 2?$0.162h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C or below on May 2?$0.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C or below on May 2?$0.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C or below on May 2?$0.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 2?$0.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 2?$0.032h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or below on May 2?$0.402h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 2?$0.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 2?$0.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 2?$0.002h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11h ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".