Dependable-Fatigue
0x2474251e6f057d57d045853bf94fb15dbd50ec29
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-318.39
Win rate
9%
150 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 28?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?
104 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?
100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- TEXAS RANGERS
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 30?
71 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 30?
70 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 31?
45 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.34
- JAKUB MENSIK
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants
40 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-12.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?$0.92Jul 8, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 30?$2.88Jun 29, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 30?$1.61Jun 29, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 30?$1.38Jun 29, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?$1.57Jun 29, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 28?$4.17Jun 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 28?$3.15Jun 28, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?$2.79Jun 28, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 28?$3.04Jun 28, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?$4.95Jun 28, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?$3.09Jun 28, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?$3.06Jun 28, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?$3.07Jun 28, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?$3.06Jun 28, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 28?$2.13Jun 27, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 28?$3.04Jun 27, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?$0.67Jun 27, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?$3.07Jun 27, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 26?$7.93Jun 27, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on June 27?$2.37Jun 27, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 150 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
150 closed markets, 9% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 150 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.