Unruly-Polyester
0x247b460c50ee25681164c9371c6aa1572d1a6610
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-80.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
44600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-44.60
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
31000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-70.96
- NO
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
11766 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-576.72
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
8000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $800M and $1B?
5814 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
1392 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?
1119 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$44.60Apr 10, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?$47.38Apr 10, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?$126.58Mar 12, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token on March 6?$5.00Mar 1, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$131.58Mar 1, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$184.21Dec 30, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$200.00Dec 30, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 29?$100.77Dec 29, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$100.00Dec 29, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?$50.00Dec 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 29?$71.55Dec 27, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$100.00Dec 27, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.10Dec 25, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?$2.84Dec 25, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$8.46Dec 25, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?$25.71Dec 25, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$105.40Dec 24, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $141.32Dec 24, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $50.00Dec 23, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $100.00Dec 23, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $91.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.