Ill-Informed-Contingency
0x2480a49cf4796a6f444702e144cadd4c8f711a9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-722.97
Realised
$61.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 22?
15328 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-47.96
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?
7888 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-173.47
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get 60 million or more views on week 1?
1350 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-43.42
- YES
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?
800 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-138.00
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on February 2?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 16 above $260?
170 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-64.90
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on February 2?
121 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-27.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 8?
100 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.64
- YES
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $900M and $950M at market close on IPO day?
100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?$86.32May 31, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?$14.17May 31, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?$10.15May 31, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?$3.20May 31, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?$3.36May 31, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?$1.40May 31, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 31?$0.85May 31, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 31?$1.00May 31, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 31?$2.16May 31, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?$0.06May 29, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?$62.27May 29, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?$5.31May 29, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?$10.02May 29, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 29?$1.55May 29, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?$10.61May 29, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?$24.02May 29, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 27?$0.04May 27, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?$3.49May 27, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?$1.27May 27, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?$5.15May 27, 04:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".