Robust-Substitution
0x249779a261e5481dbf60865169fbc707ffc319f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$4.20
Total PnL
$-3.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 1?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$4.20
$0.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 1?$4.20Apr 30, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?$4.26Apr 30, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?$4.23Mar 31, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMAntalya: Veronika Erjavec vs Nuria Brancaccio$4.23Mar 31, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.75Feb 27, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAntalya: Veronika Erjavec vs Nuria Brancaccio$3.00Feb 27, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.75Feb 27, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.73Jan 27, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$5.73Jan 27, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$5.61Dec 4, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 14?$1.00Dec 4, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 14?$1.01Dec 4, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Montenegro win on 2025-11-14?$1.28Dec 4, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMCanucks vs. Hurricanes$1.43Dec 4, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro win on 2025-11-14?$1.00Nov 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win on 2025-11-14?$1.00Nov 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanucks vs. Hurricanes$1.00Nov 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 14?$1.00Nov 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 14?$1.00Nov 14, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.