Overlooked-Holiday
0x249a6ed8cc92f3f6e7a5e6e8f6774bd681be6144
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
253 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.38 in July?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?
199 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 1?
89 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?
54 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
XRP above $3.10 on August 1?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on August 1?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 1?$1.10Aug 2, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $115K on August 2 at 5PM ET?$3.00Aug 2, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?$1.50Aug 2, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?$5.41Aug 2, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP above $3.10 on August 1?$1.00Aug 1, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on August 1 at 5PM ET?$1.00Aug 1, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $114,000 on August 1?$1.00Aug 1, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on August 1?$1.00Aug 1, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?$2.14Aug 1, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Udachne before August?$0.55Jul 31, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?$1.50Jul 31, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?$2.00Jul 31, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 31 at 5PM ET?$1.70Jul 31, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$6.67Jul 31, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Udachne before August?$1.00Jul 30, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?$1.00Jul 30, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?$1.00Jul 30, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$2.09Jul 30, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.00Jul 30, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00Jul 30, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".