Scholarly-Brushfire
0x249c4df890726311d32fb2b7948ab42ecf96e6d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?
233 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.62
- NO
Will PSG beat Bayern Munich in regulation time?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.41
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on July 4 at 5PM ET?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on July 4 at 5PM ET?
1 shares @ 94.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?$1.24Jul 19, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?$1.35Jul 19, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?$1.81Jul 19, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$3.05Jul 19, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?$1.27Jul 19, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 4?$1.33Jul 19, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 4?$1.43Jul 19, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joey Chestnut win the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?$3.51Jul 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$1.68Jul 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?$1.35Jul 4, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joey Chestnut win the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?$1.91Jul 4, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?$1.62Jul 4, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?$1.26Jul 4, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on July 4 at 5PM ET?$1.12Jul 4, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joey Chestnut win the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?$1.35Jul 4, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?$1.27Jul 4, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 4?$1.33Jul 4, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$1.39Jul 4, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on July 4 at 5PM ET?$1.18Jul 4, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 4?$1.43Jul 4, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".