0x249c81bc460f39e6103492f74ad7f42eb6008266
0x249c81bc460f39e6103492f74ad7f42eb6008266
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$21.67
Total PnL
$-4.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 27?
16 shares @ 7.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$16.00
$14.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 27?
6 shares @ 14.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$5.67
$4.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on March 27?
40 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on March 27?
33 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 27?
22 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 27?
18 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 27?
17 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 28?
14 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 27?
14 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 27?
12 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on March 28?$1.05Mar 27, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 28?$0.63Mar 27, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 28?$0.42Mar 27, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 28?$0.63Mar 27, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 27?$0.20Mar 27, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 27?$0.42Mar 27, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 29?$0.53Mar 27, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on March 28?$0.50Mar 27, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 27?$0.32Mar 27, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 27?$0.34Mar 27, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 29?$0.22Mar 27, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 27?$1.20Mar 26, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on March 27?$0.86Mar 26, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 27?$1.20Mar 26, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on March 27?$0.86Mar 26, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 27?$1.12Mar 26, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 27?$0.10Mar 26, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 27?$0.70Mar 26, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 27?$1.44Mar 26, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on March 27?$1.76Mar 26, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $0.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".