Juicy-Fratricide
0x249dac249b04540ff9eaa7ae32c012ca3170654c
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$2.17
Total PnL
$-42.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.73
$-0.27
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
47 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.45
$-2.55
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
113 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
96 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden's War" this week? (February 8)
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
11 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Prince Mohammed" during the State of the Union address?$1.25Feb 28, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Clinton" during the State of the Union address?$1.43Feb 28, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Dude" be said 5+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)$1.09Feb 11, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coca-Cola say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?$1.11Feb 11, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Drugs" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)$1.27Feb 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kushner" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 8, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Clinton" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 8, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Prince Mohammed" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 8, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 8, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase say "Web3" during earnings call?$1.00Feb 8, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coca-Cola say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?$1.00Feb 8, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Feb 8, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Venezuela" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Feb 8, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Feb 8, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Feb 8, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden's War" this week? (February 8)$1.00Feb 8, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dude" be said 5+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)$1.00Feb 8, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Drugs" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)$1.00Feb 8, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Olympic" or "Olympics" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)$1.00Feb 8, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.33Feb 5, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.