Hard-Reorganization
0x249f090b0f5c4374d4793f16cb0cd34dc8ae4bd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$64.26
Total PnL
$-97.90
Realised
$352.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
64 shares @ 68.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$64.26
$20.26
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
688 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-103.38
- YES
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?
312 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-105.14
- NO
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
279 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
259 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
222 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-61.97
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?
150 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?
42 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Rams win the NFC Championship?$220.00Jan 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$594.13Jan 25, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$41.62Jan 19, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$1.12Jan 19, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$280.98Jan 19, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$1.60Jan 19, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$142.94Nov 26, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Rams win the NFC Championship?$142.94Nov 26, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$10.00Nov 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?$10.00Nov 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Rams win the NFC Championship?$84.28Nov 26, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$100.00Nov 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Rams win the NFC Championship?$100.00Nov 26, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Rams win the NFC Championship?$250.00Nov 26, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$44.00Nov 24, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$400.60Nov 24, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$25.77Nov 20, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?$50.00Sep 26, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?$0.09Sep 17, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?$11.70Sep 17, 17:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $80.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.