Orange-Lock
0x249f58a45db016b7bd3962e64978b372838fb5b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-56.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 13?
14 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 12?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 15?
6 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 15?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16?
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 5?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 13?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 20?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?$0.75Aug 2, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?$0.43Aug 2, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?$0.50Aug 2, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 31?$4.49Jul 31, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$0.92Jul 29, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$1.00Jul 29, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?$0.29Jul 27, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?$0.97Jul 27, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?$2.74Jul 25, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?$2.88Jul 25, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on July 22?$1.21Jul 23, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on July 22?$1.00Jul 22, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 20?$3.15Jul 20, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 20?$0.75Jul 20, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 19?$1.65Jul 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 19?$1.01Jul 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 17?$1.04Jul 17, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 16?$0.73Jul 16, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 16?$2.68Jul 16, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 10:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 10:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.