0x24a555e90457f34678c30d0f8bac31a8c3817f6c
0x24a555e90457f34678c30d0f8bac31a8c3817f6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$381.98
Total PnL
$378.39
Realised
$1.42
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- -OTHER-
Carabao Cup: Who will win the Arsenal v. Liverpool game on January 13?
375 shares @ 0.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jan 13, 2022$374.78
$374.78
- YES
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022?
6 shares @ 51.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Feb 8, 2022$6.21
$3.03
- NO
Will there be another (1073rd) NFL Scorigami this season?
1 shares @ 65.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2022$1.00
$0.35
- YES
Will Terra (LUNA) reach $100 again by January 10?
8 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2022$0.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will EIP-3756 "Gas Limit Cap" be accepted prior to January 1, 2022?
6 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2021$0.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022?
4 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2022$0.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 55 ETH on January 13?
4 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2022$0.00
$-0.00
- CRYPTOPUNKS
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on February 1st, 2022?
2 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2022$0.00
$-0.16
- NO
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
2 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2022$0.00
$-0.00
- YES
NFL: Will the Buccaneers beat the Rams by more than 2.5 points in their January 22 matchup?
2 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2022$0.00
$-0.04
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.