Trusting-Opportunity
0x24b16fee9b71479ee517237366754b315c4970b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
177
Open notional
$38.24
Total PnL
$-83.44
Realised
$6.29
Win rate
97%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 177- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 19?
12 shares @ 23.5¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$3.30
$0.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 19?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.31
$0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.25
$0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 19?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.19
$0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.10
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 19?
6 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.71
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$1.56
$-0.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 20?
6 shares @ 25.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.56
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 19?
6 shares @ 23.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.53
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?
6 shares @ 23.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.47
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 20?$0.20Jun 18, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 19?$1.06Jun 18, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 20?$0.26Jun 18, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 19?$0.43Jun 18, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?$2.88Jun 18, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?$1.38Jun 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 20?$1.02Jun 18, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 19?$1.14Jun 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 19?$1.32Jun 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 20?$0.29Jun 18, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 20?$0.05Jun 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 20?$0.00Jun 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 20?$0.24Jun 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 20?$0.70Jun 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 20?$0.39Jun 18, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 20?$1.50Jun 18, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?$0.04Jun 18, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?$1.06Jun 18, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?$1.06Jun 18, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?$0.24Jun 18, 09:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
97% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
37 closed markets, 97% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.