Damaged-Temporary
0x24b8164f20e7d24e689e6c3e1ab1a5ecf2f4f372
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-485.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
1298 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-460.17
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Stan Marsh make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?
24 shares @ 84.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$20.91Feb 14, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$460.17Jan 31, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$103.93Jan 31, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 31, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 31, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$466.24Jan 31, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$131.34Jan 30, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$131.34Jan 30, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$327.84Jan 30, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$327.85Jan 30, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$100.00Jan 29, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$100.00Jan 29, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$392.25Jan 29, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$100.00Jan 4, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 17?$5.00Jan 4, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$497.25Nov 11, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$426.58Nov 6, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$426.57Nov 6, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.94Nov 5, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.94Nov 5, 02:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $162.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 22:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 02:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.