Surprised-Point
0x24bb267d0eed85cde28714bc7dcbf5e0a977c9f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.70
Total PnL
$-46.56
Realised
$0.54
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.30
$-0.10
- YES
Will Kathy Seiden be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
369 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.18
$-0.18
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
357 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.18
$-0.18
- YES
Will Chris Holder be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
309 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.15
$-0.15
- YES
Will Eric Skrmetta be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
304 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.15
$-0.15
- YES
Will Vinson Watkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
260 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.13
$-0.13
- YES
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.10
$-0.10
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.10
$-0.10
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.10
$-0.30
- YES
Will Xan John be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.10
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.02Jun 7, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.01Jun 7, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?$0.00Jun 7, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.00Jun 7, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$0.40Jun 4, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?$0.00Jun 3, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$0.40Jun 1, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?$0.00May 31, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mother Mary" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$0.08May 29, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pelle Dragsted be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.40May 28, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$0.40May 24, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Isak be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.00May 23, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Isak be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.00May 22, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike White win Survivor Season 50?$0.58May 20, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?$0.01May 20, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?$0.77May 19, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$0.40May 18, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.40May 17, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Florian Wirtz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.04May 17, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.40May 17, 02:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 20:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.