Putrid-Harpooner
0x24bbbde21f96bd7faf5a75bfa277615ba8c9dbaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$122.60
Total PnL
$-794.37
Realised
$2.55
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$33.50
$3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?
60 shares @ 33.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$22.50
$2.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$20.50
$-10.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$15.80
$5.80
- YES
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
50 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$10.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
70 shares @ 7.5¢·now 13.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$9.21
$3.96
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100 shares @ 27.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.50
$-21.50
- YES
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
80 shares @ 6.1¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$2.60
$-2.28
- YES
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$2.25
$-3.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?
231 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-92.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?$11.60Aug 3, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?$16.50Aug 3, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?$3.30Aug 3, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?$20.46Aug 3, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?$118.99Aug 3, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?$13.60Aug 3, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?$6.91Aug 3, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?$62.04Aug 3, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?$4.08Aug 3, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?$15.40Aug 3, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?$3.88Aug 3, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?$1.14Aug 3, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?$11.00Aug 3, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?$7.60Aug 3, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?$9.64Aug 3, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?$3.05Aug 3, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4?$12.42Aug 3, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?$40.00Aug 3, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?$4.00Aug 3, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?$5.00Aug 3, 02:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.