0x24bc123cfe5aee6d2386cb6914319f80989e5247
0x24bc123cfe5aee6d2386cb6914319f80989e5247
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.40
Realised
$-1.08
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 4AM ET
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
25 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
22 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
15 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
13 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.08
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
13 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.64
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
13 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
13 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.37
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
10 shares @ 61.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.00Mar 19, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.54Mar 19, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.52Mar 19, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.52Mar 19, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.39Mar 19, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.41Mar 19, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.33Mar 19, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$1.33Mar 19, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$1.25Mar 16, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.24Mar 10, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.17Mar 10, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.17Mar 10, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.15Mar 10, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.76Mar 9, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.92Mar 9, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.80Mar 9, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Mar 9, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Mar 9, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Mar 9, 05:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.