Awful-Mover
0x24c0dcd78cfd5c8f53d05140dba5cd94fa9167e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$60.53
Total PnL
$-174.79
Realised
$-45.18
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
938 shares @ 3.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.16
$18.29
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
222 shares @ 11.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.97
$-15.02
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
46 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.39
$-1.91
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 12?
192 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
121 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
119 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?
92 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?
75 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 12?
60 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $8.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 01:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.