0x24caefa29c2b2f9bd77d8bb087dc325b8d9618a1
0x24caefa29c2b2f9bd77d8bb087dc325b8d9618a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$129.42
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-470.38
Win rate
6%
107 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
28 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$27.74
$6.93
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
15 shares @ 67.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$14.82
$4.79
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 3, 3PM ET
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$10.00
$2.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
10 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$10.00
$2.40
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
10 shares @ 68.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$9.93
$3.13
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$9.90
$2.67
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$9.90
$2.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
8 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$7.75
$1.09
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.81
$2.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
6 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$6.31
$3.41
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$4.30Apr 17, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.00Apr 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$2.55Apr 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.70Apr 17, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.00Apr 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$4.65Apr 17, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$4.94Apr 17, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$4.20Apr 17, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$4.95Apr 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$4.30Apr 17, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.00Apr 17, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$3.13Apr 17, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.27Apr 17, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$4.15Apr 17, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 12PM ET$4.97Apr 17, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 12PM ET$4.55Apr 17, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$3.71Apr 17, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$3.51Apr 17, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$4.97Apr 17, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 107 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
107 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 107 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.