Fruitful-Heel
0x24cf8561c3517b382e424fffc188ea80c8297e5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$23.10
Total PnL
$-214.80
Realised
$25.14
Win rate
100%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
526 shares @ 1.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.77
$4.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 12?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$2.92
$0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 11?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$2.40
$0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 11?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 11?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 12?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on July 11?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 11?
49 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.32
$-1.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 10?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.02
$-1.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 11?$4.00Jul 11, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?$0.16Jul 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?$0.48Jul 10, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?$0.24Jul 10, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?$0.03Jul 10, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 12?$1.41Jul 10, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 12?$2.59Jul 10, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?$3.83Jul 10, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 11?$0.61Jul 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 11?$0.34Jul 10, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 11?$1.05Jul 10, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?$1.00Jul 10, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?$4.00Jul 10, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?$0.84Jul 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?$0.42Jul 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?$1.40Jul 10, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?$1.40Jul 10, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 12?$1.98Jul 10, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 12?$2.00Jul 10, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?$0.09Jul 10, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 18:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 00:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.