Colorless-Persimmon
0x24e5a8cc59f9924919192e6b62a2072ee1355bb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
August temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19°C?
34 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris give an interview before Sept 10?
25 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Megaquake in August?
5 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
3 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
2 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
1 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "weird "or "weirdo" during CNN interview?
1 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.19
- YES
100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
1 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "weird "or "weirdo" during CNN interview?$0.19Aug 29, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris give an interview before Sept 10?$0.10Aug 29, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCOVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?$0.10Aug 29, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$0.10Aug 29, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?$0.10Aug 29, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$0.10Aug 29, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$0.10Aug 29, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?$0.10Aug 29, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in August?$0.10Aug 29, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?$0.10Aug 29, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAugust temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19°C?$3.00Aug 29, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $0.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 29, 04:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 29, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.