Definitive-Rat
0x24eb31947205456b154938c48dd21fdb08dd9202
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$12.62
Total PnL
$-2.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
4 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.42
$0.06
- NO
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.51
$0.01
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.27
$0.17
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.16
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 30?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.14
$0.01
- NO
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.12
$0.02
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
1 shares @ 93.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.15Jun 4, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.10Jun 4, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.50Jun 4, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 30?$1.13Apr 29, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.11Apr 29, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.36Apr 29, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.95Apr 29, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.92Apr 29, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$10.71Apr 29, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$1.40Feb 22, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.80Feb 22, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$10.70Feb 22, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.73Feb 22, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?$4.61Feb 22, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.70Jan 8, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.70Jan 8, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?$4.60Jan 8, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWealthfront IPO in 2025?$1.22Jan 8, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.37Jan 8, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$2.02Jan 8, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $665.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.