Smug-Swan
0x24ebf7a2fe8a834deb4477a3987c43ebbe6365e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.22
Total PnL
$-1.28
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the NDA win less than 300 seats?
2 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2024$2.08
$1.58
- YES
Will Conservative Party win less than 125 seats in the next UK Election?
1 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$1.14
$0.64
- YES
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Mexican Presidential Election: Will another candidate win?
184 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Mexican Presidential Election: Will Jorge Álvarez Máynez win?
167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Groen win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?
167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Conservative Party win less than 125 seats in the next UK Election?$0.50May 30, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henry McMaster win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$0.20May 30, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Lithuanian presidential election?$0.00May 30, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NDA win less than 300 seats?$0.50May 28, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexican Presidential Election: Will Claudia Sheinbaum win?$0.50May 28, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexican Presidential Election: Will Jorge Álvarez Máynez win?$0.50May 25, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexican Presidential Election: Will another candidate win?$0.50May 25, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00May 25, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.00May 25, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$1.50May 25, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$3.00May 25, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Groen win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.50May 25, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Lithuanian presidential election?$0.50May 25, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henry McMaster win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$2.30May 25, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henry McMaster win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$5.00May 25, 05:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 05:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 09:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".