Lumpy-Lantern
0x250d96dc6fb2910fa6527e3b95ab87f09f3d550f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$131.30
Total PnL
$-60.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?
123 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$123.27
$-0.06
- CHICAGO CUBS
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
14 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$8.03
$-0.07
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?
766 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
765 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 10?
755 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 13?
715 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 25?
660 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 13?
630 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 2?
625 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?
603 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?$123.34May 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$122.84May 23, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$123.03May 23, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs$8.20May 23, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 Week of May 18 2026?$131.71May 23, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 Week of May 18 2026?$131.08May 22, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$130.13May 22, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$130.01May 21, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?$130.95May 21, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?$130.47May 20, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMBoston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals$15.77May 20, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$114.72May 20, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$114.51May 19, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals$8.32May 19, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?$121.87May 19, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?$122.00May 19, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$122.86May 19, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$123.00May 19, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$123.10May 19, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$122.99May 18, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $104.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".