Decisive-Intuition
0x2517eb2b74e933ccd1436da7caf52b31c35b4575
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$24.00
Total PnL
$-56.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$19.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
69 shares @ 4.3¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.54
$1.54
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.02
$-9.98
- DOWN
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
121 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.66Jun 3, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$1.68May 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.10May 28, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$10.21May 28, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$32.97May 28, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 10?$0.00Mar 12, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 12, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$5.00Mar 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$5.00Mar 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$2.00Mar 10, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$2.00Mar 10, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Mar 10, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 10?$2.00Mar 10, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$1.00Mar 10, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?$2.77Mar 10, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?$1.00Mar 9, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $228 in March?$1.00Mar 9, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $280 in March?$0.27Mar 9, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?$1.00Mar 9, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10?$1.00Mar 9, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".