Bad-Pollutant
0x251965783244e063f06aef007af5c0214a969cc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$120.62
Total PnL
$-1.94
Realised
$-2.31
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?
19 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$19.43
$0.12
- NO
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
16 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$16.05
$0.03
- NO
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$15.48
$0.02
- NO
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.82
$0.07
- NO
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$14.13
$0.01
- NO
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$14.11
$0.01
- NO
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
13 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$13.38
$0.04
- NO
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
13 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.22
$0.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 30, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 29, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 25, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 23, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 22, 01:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 20, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 19, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 17, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 16, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 15, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 14, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.