Fumbling-Claim
0x25196ce96a8c24504a51be46aa6feef8d8be99da
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-131.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
144 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-43.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on February 6?
125 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 6?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on February 6?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
32 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on February 6?
31 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
27 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 6?
22 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on February 6?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$43.15Feb 9, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 34°F or higher on February 6?$7.00Feb 7, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on February 6?$8.00Feb 7, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$20.00Feb 7, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 6?$10.00Feb 7, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$22.66Feb 7, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$25.77Feb 7, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$28.65Feb 7, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$20.00Feb 7, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$20.00Feb 7, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$20.00Feb 7, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$20.00Feb 6, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on February 6?$3.10Feb 6, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$20.00Feb 6, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on February 6?$4.80Feb 6, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on February 6?$4.95Feb 6, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on February 6?$1.25Feb 6, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 6?$4.76Feb 6, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 6?$3.50Feb 6, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 6?$1.50Feb 6, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $14.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".