Only-Patio
0x25225fdd295102e7e3c04e824c1511b0fab2fd27
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$11.66
Total PnL
$-282.20
Realised
$166.64
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
71 shares @ 39.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.66
$-16.46
- YES
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
1178 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11AM ET
618 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-27.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
340 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-117.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
314 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-123.06
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
181 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Starmer out in 2025?
171 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10AM ET
145 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.05
- YES
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
62 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$5.00Apr 24, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$2.00Apr 24, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.00Apr 24, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$7.65Apr 24, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.00Apr 24, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.56Apr 24, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$20.00Apr 24, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$27.60Apr 24, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out in 2025?$13.66Nov 5, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$52.00Nov 5, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$65.66Nov 5, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?$4.54Nov 4, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$20.00Nov 4, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocratic sweep?$5.00Nov 4, 14:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $19.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 22:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.