Real-Oeuvre
0x2528ba7f023784c34f9319e6887f24c35a3ed5a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$7.33
Total PnL
$-33.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.82
$0.82
- NO
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.00
$1.00
- NO
Will RFK end HPV vaccine recommendation in 2025?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
24 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
11 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
11 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before August?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?$0.00May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMNew Pope before July?$0.00May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$0.00May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMXRP all time high by March 31?$0.00May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMTrump positive favorability on Day 100?$0.00May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$0.00May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces in Gaza before April?$0.00May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in his first 100 days?$1.05May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with MrBeast in his first 100 days?$1.06May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Pope Francis in his first 100 days?$1.08May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?$1.09May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$1.11May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?$1.32May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump cut military spending?$2.99May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$3.08May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England rate cut in March meeting?$0.00Mar 25, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMGold missing from Fort Knox?$0.00Mar 25, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Mar 25, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$1.27Mar 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope before July?$1.00Mar 4, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 22:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".