Definite-Documentation
0x252a0889659015b957251fe30f6f9cca26998cf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.3K
Realised
$-559.70
Win rate
2%
196 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
3571 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-71.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
3347 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-66.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
3154 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-63.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
1488 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-46.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
1430 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-32.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
1310 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-615.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
991 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
856 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-37.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
826 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.93
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.16Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$5.00Aug 13, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$5.70Aug 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$4.75Aug 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$4.80Aug 13, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.70Aug 13, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.04Aug 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.70Aug 13, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$4.75Aug 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$6.65Aug 13, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$5.41Aug 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.70Aug 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.27Aug 13, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$4.75Aug 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$4.81Aug 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$6.65Aug 13, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$4.93Aug 13, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$4.87Aug 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$5.09Aug 13, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$4.93Aug 13, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 196 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
196 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 03:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 196 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.