Formal-Modernist
0x252ad3bba19d9d2c9e2abb6cd5ccd7840fea978c
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$204.06
Total PnL
$-83.46
Realised
$-85.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
197 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$197.25
$2.56
- YES
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
1 shares @ 88.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Trudeau out in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?
1 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Siqi Chen refund >$500,000 in $ZERO losses?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.00Dec 31, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla bot at Trump inauguration?$1.00Dec 31, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? $1.00Dec 31, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Siqi Chen refund >$500,000 in $ZERO losses?$1.00Dec 31, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau out in 2025?$1.00Dec 31, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?$1.00Dec 31, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.00Dec 31, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$6.1KDec 31, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$10.03Dec 31, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$9.27Dec 31, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$9.84Dec 31, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$31.47Dec 31, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$9.25Dec 31, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$10.45Dec 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$10.03Dec 31, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$11.18Dec 31, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$11.95Dec 31, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$27.00Dec 31, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$11.48Dec 31, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$36.39Dec 31, 19:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $6.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".