Fearful-Constitution
0x252eaaf5a0dfcc6fe02f720c8d66b8dcbb721178
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-853.51
Realised
$157.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?
3555 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-151.31
- YES
Will Trump meet with Kaja Kallas in January 2026?
769 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?
668 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-175.89
- YES
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
590 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-238.34
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
374 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-97.32
- YES
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026?
246 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?
216 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 11?
179 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.93
- NO
Will Trump say "China" or "Tariff" or "Border" 10+ times during NewsNation interview?
104 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Kiev" during NewsNation interview?
79 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$22.97Feb 6, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$223.75Feb 6, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$183.07Feb 3, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$89.19Jan 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kaja Kallas in January 2026?$40.00Jan 22, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Satya Nadella in January 2026?$129.20Jan 22, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?$91.31Jan 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?$50.00Jan 22, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Jensen Huang in January 2026?$141.31Jan 22, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$97.32Jan 21, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?$97.32Jan 21, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?$130.89Jan 21, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?$60.00Jan 21, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jensen Huang in January 2026?$81.67Jan 21, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Satya Nadella in January 2026?$60.00Jan 21, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?$10.00Jan 21, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026?$60.00Jan 21, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?$45.00Jan 21, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?$25.00Jan 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?$24.00Jan 21, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $103.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".