Dangerous-Setback
0x252fd3ddf331274d2d5b01279a71ea4831908b23
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$2.04
Total PnL
$-32.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
8000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
8000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 31, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?$1.02Jan 15, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$3.07Jan 4, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.02Jan 4, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New England Patriots make the playoffs?$1.00Dec 26, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.02Dec 26, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.03Dec 26, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.47Dec 26, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 10, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 9, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots make the playoffs?$1.00Dec 8, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.00Dec 6, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.00Dec 5, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$3.06Dec 4, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.00Dec 4, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 2?$1.00Dec 3, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 07:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".